Predicting Monday Prices Based on Friday Price
October 22, 2009 by David
Filed under Commodities Futures, Money Matters, Technical Analysis, Trading Systems
Does Friday’s Stock, Options or Futures Price Action Predict Monday’s Price Movement?
Is it possible a market trading methodology or trading system can be profitable based on a simple trading method involving Friday’s prices to successfuly predict the opening price on the following Monday?
This trading pattern does not appear every single week but it’s often reflected in the financial markets. And when it does appear, the following Monday’s prices tend to perform in a predictable manner, possibly leading to trading profits got you.
The trade setup uses the opening and closing prices on Friday to trend in the same direction. Interim price movements and trend directions are not relevant for this trading method.
Stocks and commodity price openings don’t need to go too far past the first several ticks, as a price-gap which quickly reverses is sufficient for the purposes of this trade method, but that’s the direction the closing price needs to trend.
Monday’s opening price is likely to first start trending in the same direction at the opening of tradding vs the pattern of the two prices Friday moving in the same direction as each other, then Monday’s open is likely to start trending in the same direction imediately after the opening occurs.
Do your own technical narket analysis of old market price action based in one-minute bar-charts or real-time tick-charts to view the price action and weekly market trading patterns. You will see it sometimes does not work all weeks but does appear to be better than 50% reliable.
This simple but interesting trading method may work particularly well involving commodity futures trading in addition to stock market and foreign exchange market trading of the Forex Futures markets. Iy has not been tested in the futures optiosn maret but there is a good chance it will work there too.


